Are gold markets weak form efficient? Evidence from China, India and Russia

  • Bisharat Hussain Chang Sukkur IBA University
  • Pervaiz Ahmed Sukkur IBA University
  • Niaz Ghumro Sukkur IBA University
  • Mujeeb U Rehman Sukkur IBA University

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to determine the weak form efficiency of the emerging gold markets such as China, India and Russia with the special focus on testing random walks (RWS) and martingale difference sequence (MDS) hypotheses during different periods of time. This study uses biased free statistical techniques such as runs test, parametric variance ratio tests and recent modified non-parametric variance ratio tests based on ranks and signs by using daily spot gold prices from January 12, 1993 to October 28, 2016. Findings of the study suggest that Russian gold market is weak form efficient throughout the period whereas other two markets are found weak form efficient during second sub period only that is, January 2000 to December 2005.

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Published
2018-07-04
How to Cite
CHANG, Bisharat Hussain et al. Are gold markets weak form efficient? Evidence from China, India and Russia. Sukkur IBA Journal of Management and Business, [S.l.], v. 5, n. 1, p. 52-65, july 2018. ISSN 2410-1885. Available at: <http://journal.iba-suk.edu.pk:8089/SIBAJournals/index.php/sijmb/article/view/189>. Date accessed: 17 july 2018. doi: https://doi.org/10.30537/sijmb.v5i1.189.